大閱兵的目的
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紀念歷史、凝聚民族情感
紀念二戰勝利與抗日戰爭勝利80週年,向老兵致敬,強化中國在歷史中的正當地位。 -
展示軍事現代化成果
首次完整亮相「三位一體核打擊力量」(陸基、海基、空基),並展示高超音速導彈、隱形戰機、無人機、海空無人平台及定向能武器等。 -
外交與地緣政治訊號
普京、金正恩等領導人與習近平並肩觀禮,向世界展示中俄朝及多個「全球南方」國家的團結,凸顯對西方秩序的挑戰。 -
軍事裝備行銷
有分析指出,此次閱兵同時是一場「超大型軍火展」,意在吸引潛在買家,特別是那些希望擺脫對西方或俄羅斯依賴的國家。
對中國的影響
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內部合法性
閱兵大幅鞏固了中共「民族復興」的敘事,習近平藉此強調「中國不會再被欺凌」。 -
軍隊信心
向國內外傳達中國軍隊現代化成果,提升解放軍威望與威懾力。 -
民族主義強化
引發國內群眾的民族自豪感,但也加深對外強硬的輿論氛圍。
🌏 對其他國家的影響
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西方國家(美國、歐盟、日本)
幾乎沒有領導人出席,以示抗議。美歐視之為挑釁與權力展示。美國政界人士直言這是一場「反西方大秀」。 -
周邊國家與台灣
日本批評中國藉閱兵重提「反日」情緒;台灣則譴責活動是政治宣傳,加劇兩岸緊張。 -
全球南方與威權盟友
伊朗、白俄羅斯、柬埔寨、巴基斯坦等領導人受邀出席,顯示中國在發展中國家與非西方陣營中的影響力正在上升。
✅ 政治正確性
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中國視角:閱兵是合法且必要的紀念,體現大國自信。
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外界批評:閱兵軍味過重,被比作「現代版紐倫堡集會」,和平敘事反而被武器展示掩蓋。
✅ 軍事合理性
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威懾與展示:展示核三位一體與高科技武器,有效強化威懾姿態。
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質疑聲音:部分觀察家懷疑部分裝備的實際戰備能力。
🕊️ 和平維護作用?
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官方宣稱:中國以閱兵彰顯「維護和平、反對侵略」。
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實際效果:國際上更多解讀為「武力炫耀」,不利於緩和緊張局勢。
⚔️ 對地緣政治的衝擊
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加劇軍備競賽:日本、美國、印度等可能加快軍事現代化。
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強化安全同盟:區域內國家更傾向於靠攏美國,以平衡中國力量。
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加深陣營對立:閱兵強化了「西方—非西方」的二元格局,推動世界走向多極化。
🔍 我的觀點
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這場閱兵 兼具紀念與戰略雙重目的。對內,它提升了民族凝聚力與政權合法性;對外,它傳達了中國作為強國的形象。
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政治正確性:在中國國內是高度正確的,但在國際舞台則顯得挑釁。
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軍事效果:成功樹立威懾姿態,但也可能引發區域軍備競賽。
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和平訊號:官方宣傳「和平」,但閱兵形式本身傳達的是「強硬」。
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總結:這場閱兵讓中國在國內外的「安全—不安全悖論」更加突出:它強化了本國安全感,卻讓周邊和對手更加不安。
這場閱兵是一場 歷史紀念與戰略宣示的混合體。它讓國內人民回顧抗戰勝利的歷史、強化民族自豪感,同時也讓世界看見一個自信而強大的中國。然而,閱兵的「和平」敘事與「武力展示」之間存在張力:對中國而言是合法合理的安全宣示,對周邊與西方國家卻帶來不安與挑釁意味。
從國際格局來看,這場閱兵進一步凸顯了全球正在走向 多極化與陣營化:中國與「全球南方」及威權盟友站在一起,而西方國家則更傾向於強化同盟以對抗。
總結一句話:
👉 這場閱兵讓中國在國內獲得團結與自信,卻在國際上引發更多疑慮與對抗。它既是展示實力的舞台,也是地緣政治風險的放大鏡。
Beijing Military Parade: 80th Anniversary of Victory in the War of Resistance
Objectives
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Commemoration & National Unity
Marking the 80th anniversary of Japan’s surrender in WWII, the parade paid tribute to veterans and reinforced national pride. Xi Jinping highlighted China's resilience and its role in historical victories. AP NewsWikipedia -
Showcase of Military Modernity
The event featured a display of China's full nuclear triad—land-, sea-, and air-launched missiles—for the first time. It also included hypersonic missiles, stealth fighters, drones, aerial and naval drones, and directed-energy systems. The GuardianNaval NewsReutersAsia Media Centre -
Diplomatic Messaging & Global Positioning
Leaders such as Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong Un stood with Xi, signaling an emerging bloc opposed to Western-led norms. With over two dozen countries represented—primarily from the Global South—the parade articulated China's growing diplomatic reach and multipolar ambition. The GuardianAP NewsReuters -
Strategic Marketing of Arms
Analysts observed the parade doubling as a “mega-arms bazaar,” showcasing military capabilities to potential buyers, especially those diversifying from Western or Russian systems. CSISAsia Media Centre
Effects on China
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Bolstered Domestic Legitimacy
The grandeur reinforced Xi’s narrative of national rejuvenation and CCP leadership, underscoring “a China that cannot be bullied.” AP NewsWikipedia -
Military Confidence
Presenting sophisticated weaponry advanced the image of a modernized PLA and strengthened deterrence messaging domestically and internationally. ReutersStrategic Studies Institute
Effects on Other Countries
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Western Nations (U.S., EU, Japan)
Largely absent from the event, Western leaders signaled discomfort. Some U.S. figures, including Trump, criticized it as a coordinated anti-West spectacle. EU officials labeled it a challenge to the rules-based order. AP NewsWikipedia+1New York PostThe Guardian -
Regional Neighbors & Taiwan
Japan condemned what it saw as historical revisionism and anti-Japanese sentiment. Taiwan’s government condemned the event as propagandistic and costly, highlighting tensions in cross-strait relations. Wikipedia -
Global South and Authoritarian Allies
Leaders from Iran, Belarus, Cambodia, Pakistan, and others—many with authoritarian leanings or critical of the West—attended. This reinforced China’s expanding influence and alliances outside Western alignment. AP NewsReuters
Political Correctness & Peacekeeping Message
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From China's Viewpoint
Politically, the parade served as a legitimate commemoration and reaffirmation of China's sovereign strength. -
Criticisms & Backlash
Critics saw it as militaristic triumphalism. Some drew disturbing comparisons to pageantry reminiscent of authoritarian rallies. The peace narrative was overshadowed by the heavy display of firepower. The AustralianThe Guardian
Military Effectiveness
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Deterrence & Capability Signaling
Displaying a nuclear triad and advanced weapon systems enhanced Beijing’s deterrence posture in Asia and beyond. ReutersThe GuardianNaval News -
Questions Over Realism
Some observers questioned the actual operational readiness of all the showcased systems despite their impressive presentation. ReutersThe Australian
Peacekeeping vs. Geopolitical Rivalry
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Peacekeeping Intent?
Official messaging emphasized peace and dialogue. However, the militaristic display communicated strength more than reconciliation. AP NewsThe GuardianReuters -
Backlash & Regional Alarm
The parade accelerated regional arms competition and fueled anxiety among rivals like Japan, Taiwan, and the U.S. It could incentivize allies to strengthen security partnerships. The AustralianThe GuardianReuters
My Analysis
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Dual Purpose Parade
The September 3 parade blended genuine historic commemoration with calculated geopolitical signaling. It reinforced domestic unity and CCP legitimacy, while sending a message of deterrence and power projection globally. -
Strategic Optics Over Inclusivity
Though it positioned itself as a peace-promoting narrative, the heavy military optics and curated guest list highlighted ideological divides rather than inclusive commemoration. -
Rising Multipolarity
The parade signaled China leading a coalition of like-minded nations who challenge a Western-dominated order, underscoring the shift toward multipolar global dynamics. Responsible StatecraftAP NewsAsia Media Centre -
Elevated Tensions, Strategic Reckoning
While boosting deterrence, the event risks deepening strategic tension. Rivals may accelerate their defense postures, leading to unstable arms escalations in the Asia-Pacific.
Summary Table
Aspect | Summary |
---|---|
Objectives | Commemoration, military showcase, diplomacy, arms marketing |
For China | Domestic unity, military prestige, regime legitimacy |
For Other Countries | Unease or alignment depending on political alignment |
Political Messaging | Mixed—pride vs. provocation |
Military Impact | Strong deterrent, with some skepticism on operational readiness |
Peacekeeping Role | Soft messaging, hard optics; potential destabilizing effect |
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